Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.32) 0.69 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.8% 17.6% 10.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.5%
1 - 0
12.1%
3 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Chieti
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Ascoli 0 5.5% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.1% 8.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.5% 9.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.0% 6.9% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.5% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico AscoliChieti
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack67%20%
Defense67%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Ascoli Chieti
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins42%46%44%25%8%16%
Draws42%31%36%33%38%36%
Loses17%23%20%42%54%48%

Form: Atletico Ascoli: DDLLLWWWWDLDWWDWWWDLDDWWD • Chieti: DDWDDWDDLLLLLDLLLLWLLDDLW

League goals

Metric Atletico Ascoli Chieti
HATHAT
GF total172744101222
GF avg1.42.11.80.80.90.9
GA total111526172744
GA avg0.91.21.01.42.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico AscoliChieti
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%64%56%84%
1.552%32%20%52%
2.528%8%12%32%
3.58%0%0%8%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico AscoliChieti
HATHAT
Clean sheets549314
Failed to score4155611

Penalties

MetricAtletico AscoliChieti
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricAtletico AscoliChieti
Wins41
Draws22
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-63-21-3
Biggest losses0-23-10-34-0
Goals For3633
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricAtletico AscoliChieti
Form64%36%
Att77%23%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h85%15%
Goals75%25%
Total73.0%27.0%

Advice: Winner : Atletico Ascoli

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Unibet
Draw4.20 @ Pinnacle
Away7.11 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No2.07 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Ascoli = 2.22 (league 1.32), Chieti = 0.69 (league 1.18)

Chieti
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Ascoli 0 5.5% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.1% 8.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.5% 9.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.0% 6.9% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.5% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.8% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 10.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1