Castelfidardo Calcio vs Recanatese

Serie D - Girone F — Italy

Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:30 • Nuovo Stadio Comunale G.Mancini

Match Finished

Castelfidardo Calcio

2 - 1

Recanatese

Expected Goals

1.42 (league 1.31) 1.67 (league 1.18)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
32.4%	23.7%	42.8%

best score tips

1 - 1

10.8%

1 - 2

9.0%

2 - 1

7.7%

Score & goals probability table

		Recanatese
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Castelfidardo Calcio	0	4.5%	7.6%	6.3%	3.5%	1.5%	0.5%
	1	6.4%	10.8%	9.0%	5.0%	2.1%	0.7%
	2	4.6%	7.7%	6.4%	3.6%	1.5%	0.5%
	3	2.2%	3.6%	3.0%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%
	4	0.8%	1.3%	1.1%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%
	5	0.2%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Castelfidardo Calcio	Recanatese
Played	5	5
Form	20%	13%
Attack	35%	29%
Defense	35%	29%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	11 \| 2.2	12 \| 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%

FT probability

2.5+

58%

FT probability

3.5+

41%

FT probability

BTTS

74%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Castelfidardo Calcio			Recanatese
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	12	14	26	13	13	26
Wins	25%	7%	15%	15%	23%	19%
Draws	8%	14%	12%	31%	15%	23%
Loses	67%	79%	73%	54%	62%	58%

Form: Castelfidardo Calcio: LLLLLDLLLLWLLDLWLLLDWLLLWL • Recanatese: LWDLLLLLLWLWDDWLLLDWLDLLDL

League goals

Metric	Castelfidardo Calcio			Recanatese
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	13	9	22	16	12	28
GF avg	1.1	0.6	0.8	1.2	0.9	1.1
GA total	26	25	51	26	22	48
GA avg	2.2	1.8	2.0	2.0	1.7	1.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Castelfidardo Calcio		Recanatese
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	62%	88%	69%	92%
1.5	19%	65%	27%	58%
2.5	4%	31%	8%	19%
3.5	0%	4%	4%	15%
4.5	0%	4%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Castelfidardo Calcio			Recanatese
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	1	3	1	1	2
Failed to score	3	7	10	3	5	8

Penalties

Metric	Castelfidardo Calcio	Recanatese
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	2

Streaks

Metric	Castelfidardo Calcio	Recanatese
Wins	1	1
Draws	1	2
Losses	5	6

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-0	1-2	3-1	1-4
Biggest losses	1-6	3-1	1-4	4-1
Goals For	3	2	3	4
Goals Against	6	3	4	4

Model comparison

Metric	Castelfidardo Calcio	Recanatese
Form	60%	40%
Att	55%	45%
Def	52%	48%
Poisson Distribution	44%	56%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	50%	50%
Total	51.8%	48.2%

Advice: Double chance : Castelfidardo Calcio or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ 1xBet

Draw3.10 @ 1xBet

Away2.75 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ 1xBet

Under 2.51.67 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 1xBet

No1.94 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

1xBet Updated: 2026-03-14T06:29:04+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.40
Draw	3.10
Away	2.75

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home +0	1.73
Away +0	1.99
Home -1.5	4.55
Away -1.5	1.15
Home +1.5	1.11
Away +1.5	5.25

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.33
Under 1.5	2.87
Over 2.5	2.05
Under 2.5	1.67
Over 3.5	3.50
Under 3.5	1.24
Over 4.5	6.50
Under 4.5	1.08
Over 5.5	10.00
Under 5.5	1.02

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.82
No	1.94

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	4.90
2:0	7.20
2:1	6.20
3:0	16.00
3:1	14.00
3:2	23.00
4:0	50.00
4:1	40.00
0:0	5.51
1:1	3.90
2:2	9.20
0:1	5.40
0:2	8.60
0:3	21.00
1:2	6.80
1:3	16.00
2:3	25.00
3:3	50.00
0:4	70.00
1:4	50.00
2:4	80.00
4:2	70.00
0:5	100.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	100.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.38
Under 1.5	1.47
Over 2.5	5.25
Under 2.5	1.11
Over 0.5	1.30
Under 0.5	3.00

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.62
Under 1.5	1.39
Over 2.5	6.15
Under 2.5	1.09
Over 0.5	1.35
Under 0.5	2.78

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.92
Even	1.79

Bet ID 23 — Home Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.99
Even	1.73

Bet ID 60 — Away Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.03
Even	1.71

📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Castelfidardo Calcio vs Recanatese

Expected goals (λ): Castelfidardo Calcio = 1.42 (league 1.31), Recanatese = 1.67 (league 1.18)

		Recanatese
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Castelfidardo Calcio	0	4.5%	7.6%	6.3%	3.5%	1.5%	0.5%
	1	6.4%	10.8%	9.0%	5.0%	2.1%	0.7%
	2	4.6%	7.7%	6.4%	3.6%	1.5%	0.5%
	3	2.2%	3.6%	3.0%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%
	4	0.8%	1.3%	1.1%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%
	5	0.2%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.4% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 42.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Castelfidardo Calcio	Recanatese
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	2