Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Giorgio Calbi
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.31)
1.15 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.8% | 31.6% | 48.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.7%
0 - 0
17.1%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Vigor Senigallia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Victor San Marino | 0 | 17.1% | 19.7% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 47% |
| Attack | 31% | 54% |
| Defense | 0% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 31% | 7% | 19% | 36% | 38% | 37% |
| Draws | 8% | 36% | 22% | 50% | 31% | 41% |
| Loses | 62% | 57% | 59% | 14% | 31% | 22% |
Form: Victor San Marino: LLLLWLDWDWLWLWLLDDLLLDLLLLD • Vigor Senigallia: WDLLLWDWDLWDDLWWWWDWDLDDWDD
League goals
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 11 | 23 | 18 | 12 | 30 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 20 | 28 | 48 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Victor San Marino | Vigor Senigallia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 81% | 74% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 52% | 30% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 30% | 7% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 5-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 88% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 28% | 72% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 28.8% | 71.4% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Vigor Senigallia
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Victor San Marino = 0.62 (league 1.31), Vigor Senigallia = 1.15 (league 1.18)
| Vigor Senigallia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Victor San Marino | 0 | 17.1% | 19.7% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.8% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 48.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1