Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.31)
1.87 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.4% | 22.2% | 59.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
11.8%
0 - 2
11.1%
1 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Ancona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigor Senigallia | 0 | 6.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 73% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 25% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Ancona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 36% | 43% | 39% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Draws | 50% | 29% | 39% | 14% | 21% | 18% |
| Loses | 14% | 29% | 21% | 14% | 7% | 11% |
Form: Vigor Senigallia: WDLLLWDWDLWDDLWWWWDWDLDDWDDW • Ancona: LWWWWWDWWWWDLLWWDWWWWWWWDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Ancona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 16 | 34 | 24 | 28 | 52 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 15 | 13 | 28 | 6 | 12 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vigor Senigallia | Ancona | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 71% | 86% | 46% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 21% | 57% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 7% | 25% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Ancona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | 4-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 48% | 52% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ancona
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vigor Senigallia = 0.89 (league 1.31), Ancona = 1.87 (league 1.18)
| Ancona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigor Senigallia | 0 | 6.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.4% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 59.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1