Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 13:00 • Stadio Guido Angelini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.30) 1.10 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.9% 29.6% 36.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Recanatese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chieti 0 11.7% 12.8% 7.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.3% 13.5% 7.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.4% 7.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChietiRecanatese
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack50%38%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chieti Recanatese
HATHAT
Played131528141428
Wins23%7%14%14%21%18%
Draws38%33%36%36%14%25%
Loses38%60%50%50%64%57%

Form: Chieti: DDWDDWDDLLLLLDLLLLWLLDDLWLDL • Recanatese: LWDLLLLLLWLWDDWLLLDWLDLLDLLD

League goals

Metric Chieti Recanatese
HATHAT
GF total111324161329
GF avg0.80.90.91.10.91.0
GA total183149262450
GA avg1.42.11.81.91.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChietiRecanatese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%86%68%89%
1.518%50%25%57%
2.511%32%7%18%
3.50%7%4%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChietiRecanatese
HATHAT
Clean sheets314213
Failed to score5712459

Penalties

MetricChietiRecanatese
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricChietiRecanatese
Wins11
Draws22
Losses56

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-33-11-4
Biggest losses0-34-01-44-1
Goals For3334
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricChietiRecanatese
Form67%33%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h62%38%
Goals53%47%
Total56.3%43.7%

Advice: Double chance : Chieti or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ William Hill
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.10 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Superbet
No2.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chieti = 1.05 (league 1.30), Recanatese = 1.10 (league 1.15)

Recanatese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chieti 0 11.7% 12.8% 7.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.3% 13.5% 7.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.4% 7.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 36.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1