Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 16:00 • Nicola Tubaldi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.30) 1.82 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.1% 22.3% 61.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.7%
0 - 2
12.5%
1 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Vigor Senigallia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Recanatese 0 7.5% 13.7% 12.5% 7.6% 3.5% 1.3%
1 5.8% 10.5% 9.5% 5.8% 2.6% 1.0%
2 2.2% 4.0% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRecanateseVigor Senigallia
Played55
Form13%53%
Attack38%100%
Defense13%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Recanatese Vigor Senigallia
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins14%20%17%33%43%38%
Draws36%13%24%47%29%38%
Loses50%67%59%20%29%24%

Form: Recanatese: LWDLLLLLLWLWDDWLLLDWLDLLDLLDL • Vigor Senigallia: WDLLLWDWDLWDDLWWWWDWDLDDWDDWL

League goals

Metric Recanatese Vigor Senigallia
HATHAT
GF total161430181634
GF avg1.10.91.01.21.11.2
GA total262652161329
GA avg1.91.71.81.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRecanateseVigor Senigallia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%90%72%72%
1.524%59%31%21%
2.57%17%10%7%
3.53%14%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRecanateseVigor Senigallia
HATHAT
Clean sheets213448
Failed to score459448

Penalties

MetricRecanateseVigor Senigallia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricRecanateseVigor Senigallia
Wins14
Draws22
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-43-11-4
Biggest losses1-44-11-33-1
Goals For3434
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricRecanateseVigor Senigallia
Form20%80%
Att23%77%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Vigor Senigallia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ 10Bet
Draw3.20 @ Dafabet
Away2.36 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Superbet
No1.80 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Recanatese = 0.76 (league 1.30), Vigor Senigallia = 1.82 (league 1.15)

Vigor Senigallia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Recanatese 0 7.5% 13.7% 12.5% 7.6% 3.5% 1.3%
1 5.8% 10.5% 9.5% 5.8% 2.6% 1.0%
2 2.2% 4.0% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.1% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 61.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1