Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Giorgio Calbi
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.30)
1.19 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.8% | 30.0% | 44.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.8%
0 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Fossombrone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Victor San Marino | 0 | 13.3% | 15.8% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 53% |
| Attack | 63% | 50% |
| Defense | 0% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Fossombrone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 29% | 7% | 17% | 40% | 29% | 34% |
| Draws | 7% | 33% | 21% | 33% | 36% | 34% |
| Loses | 64% | 60% | 62% | 27% | 36% | 31% |
Form: Victor San Marino: LLLLWLDWDWLWLWLLDDLLLDLLLLDLL • Fossombrone: DDWDDLLLLWWLWWDLWWWDLDDLLDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Fossombrone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 11 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 24 | 31 | 55 | 8 | 17 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Victor San Marino | Fossombrone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 83% | 59% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 55% | 21% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 34% | 0% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Fossombrone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 5-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 11% | 89% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 19% | 81% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 31.8% | 68.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Fossombrone
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Victor San Marino = 0.83 (league 1.30), Fossombrone = 1.19 (league 1.15)
| Fossombrone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Victor San Marino | 0 | 13.3% | 15.8% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.8% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 44.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1