Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 13:00 •
Nuovo Stadio Comunale G.Mancini
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.30)
1.66 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.2% | 23.9% | 43.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 2
9.1%
0 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Maceratese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castelfidardo Calcio | 0 | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Maceratese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 63% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Maceratese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 36% | 7% | 21% | 53% | 14% | 34% |
| Draws | 7% | 13% | 10% | 0% | 21% | 10% |
| Loses | 57% | 80% | 69% | 47% | 64% | 55% |
Form: Castelfidardo Calcio: LLLLLDLLLLWLLDLWLLLDWLLLWLWWL • Maceratese: LLLWWLWLLDWLWDWLWLLDLWLLWLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Maceratese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 10 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 27 | 28 | 55 | 19 | 22 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castelfidardo Calcio | Maceratese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 66% | 86% | 72% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 62% | 38% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 31% | 14% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Maceratese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Maceratese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Maceratese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-6 | 3-1 | 1-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Maceratese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 54.0% | 46.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Castelfidardo Calcio or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Castelfidardo Calcio = 1.36 (league 1.30), Maceratese = 1.66 (league 1.15)
| Maceratese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castelfidardo Calcio | 0 | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.2% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 43.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1