Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Fossombrone
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.31)
0.84 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.0% | 38.5% | 41.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
26.4%
0 - 1
22.3%
1 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Ancona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fossombrone | 0 | 26.4% | 22.3% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fossombrone | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 36% | 73% |
| Defense | 55% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fossombrone | Ancona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 40% | 27% | 33% | 67% | 73% | 70% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 13% | 20% | 17% |
| Loses | 27% | 40% | 33% | 20% | 7% | 13% |
FossombroneDDWDDLLLLWWLWWDLWWWDLDDLLDWDWL
AnconaLWWWWWDWWWWDLLWWDWWWWWWWDWWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Fossombrone | Ancona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 11 | 23 | 24 | 29 | 53 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 8 | 20 | 28 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fossombrone | Ancona | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 60% | 83% | 47% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 20% | 53% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 13% | 23% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fossombrone | Ancona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fossombrone | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 80.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 20.00% |
| Total | 1 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fossombrone | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fossombrone | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 42.5% | 57.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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