Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.31)
1.85 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.2% | 22.6% | 56.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
0 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Atletico Ascoli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigor Senigallia | 0 | 5.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 5.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Atletico Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 73% | 64% |
| Defense | 36% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Atletico Ascoli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 33% | 40% | 37% | 53% | 40% | 47% |
| Draws | 47% | 27% | 37% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 20% | 33% | 27% | 13% | 27% | 20% |
Vigor SenigalliaWDLLLWDWDLWDDLWWWWDWDLDDWDDWLL
Atletico AscoliDDLLLWWWWDLDWWDWWWDLDDWWDWDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Atletico Ascoli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 17 | 35 | 23 | 28 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 16 | 15 | 31 | 12 | 17 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vigor Senigallia | Atletico Ascoli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 73% | 80% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 23% | 50% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 7% | 27% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Atletico Ascoli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Atletico Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Atletico Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 1-6 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Atletico Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 39.2% | 60.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.14 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.31 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.82 @ Marathonbet
No1.85 @ William Hill
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League standings
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