Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.31)
1.51 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.2% | 26.0% | 56.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.6%
0 - 2
12.5%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Ostia Mare | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Notaresco | 0 | 11.0% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Notaresco | Ostia Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 87% |
| Attack | 91% | 82% |
| Defense | 82% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Notaresco | Ostia Mare | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 33% | 47% | 40% | 67% | 73% | 70% |
| Draws | 40% | 33% | 37% | 27% | 20% | 23% |
| Loses | 27% | 20% | 23% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
NotarescoWDWWWLDWWWDLLDDWDWDLLDDDLDWWLW
Ostia MareWWWWWWWWWDWWWDLWDLWWDDDWWWWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Notaresco | Ostia Mare | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 19 | 38 | 34 | 26 | 60 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 15 | 10 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Notaresco | Ostia Mare | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 53% | 87% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 27% | 57% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 3% | 33% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Notaresco | Ostia Mare | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Notaresco | Ostia Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Notaresco | Ostia Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 7-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Notaresco | Ostia Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 47.0% | 53.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.40 @ Bet365
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.15 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.05 @ William Hill
No1.68 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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