Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Anco Marzio
Expected Goals
2.99 (league 1.31)
0.80 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.9% | 11.9% | 6.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.1%
3 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| L'Aquila | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ostia Mare | 0 | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.1% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ostia Mare | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 13% |
| Attack | 100% | 75% |
| Defense | 25% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ostia Mare | L'Aquila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 67% | 75% | 71% | 63% | 27% | 45% |
| Draws | 27% | 19% | 23% | 13% | 33% | 23% |
| Loses | 7% | 6% | 6% | 25% | 40% | 32% |
Ostia MareWWWWWWWWWDWWWDLWDLWWDDDWWWWDWWW
L'AquilaDWWWDWLWLWLWWWWLWLWDWDLWDLDLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Ostia Mare | L'Aquila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 34 | 28 | 62 | 29 | 22 | 51 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 9 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 26 | 41 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ostia Mare | L'Aquila | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 52% | 84% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 10% | 48% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 3% | 23% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ostia Mare | L'Aquila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ostia Mare | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ostia Mare | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 0-3 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 7 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ostia Mare | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 87% | 13% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 67.8% | 32.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.65 @ Betano
Draw3.70 @ Dafabet
Away4.73 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.84 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.85 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.81 @ Marathonbet
No1.86 @ 1xBet
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League standings
Loading standings…