Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio del Conero
Expected Goals
3.43 (league 1.31)
0.40 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.4% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
best score tips
3 - 0
14.6%
2 - 0
12.8%
4 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Sammaurese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ancona | 0 | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.8% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.6% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.5% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ancona | Sammaurese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 7% |
| Attack | 100% | 25% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ancona | Sammaurese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 67% | 75% | 71% | 19% | 7% | 13% |
| Draws | 13% | 19% | 16% | 31% | 13% | 23% |
| Loses | 20% | 6% | 13% | 50% | 80% | 65% |
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SammaureseWLLLLDLLLLDLLLLLDWDWDLLDLWLLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Ancona | Sammaurese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 31 | 55 | 15 | 13 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 8 | 13 | 21 | 23 | 42 | 65 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ancona | Sammaurese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 48% | 48% | 87% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 16% | 29% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 3% | 13% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ancona | Sammaurese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 7 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ancona | Sammaurese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 80.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 20.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ancona | Sammaurese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-5 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ancona | Sammaurese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 91% | 9% |
| Att | 86% | 14% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 89% | 11% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 82.0% | 18.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.18 @ Unibet
Draw7.28 @ Pinnacle
Away26.00 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes3.66 @ Marathonbet
No1.25 @ William Hill
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League standings
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