Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Claudio Tomei
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.31)
1.70 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.2% | 23.6% | 44.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
9.1%
0 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Unipomezia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sora | 0 | 4.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Unipomezia carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 46 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sora -29.9, Unipomezia +8.5.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Sora
vs
Unipomezia
Elo gapUnipomezia +46
Home / draw / away32% / 25% / 43%
Expected home share43%
Combined Elo2982.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2982.2
Elo home share
43%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Sora | Unipomezia |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1450.8 | 1531.4 |
| Form Elo | 1435.2 | 1550.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1473.8 | 1504.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1445.1 | 1504.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1474.8 | 1566.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -29.9 | +8.5 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Sora last-5 Elo change: -29.9; Unipomezia last-5 Elo change: +8.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sora | Unipomezia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 53% |
| Attack | 25% | 50% |
| Defense | 42% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sora | Unipomezia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 25% | 19% | 22% | 31% | 31% | 31% |
| Draws | 31% | 38% | 34% | 50% | 19% | 34% |
| Loses | 44% | 44% | 44% | 19% | 50% | 34% |
SoraLDWLDLWDWLLDLLLDWWLLWDDDDWLDLLDL
UnipomeziaDDLWWLDLWDLWLDLDLLLWDLWWDWDLWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Sora | Unipomezia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 16 | 36 | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 25 | 24 | 49 | 15 | 22 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sora | Unipomezia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 78% | 72% | 66% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 50% | 31% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 22% | 16% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 3% | 3% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sora | Unipomezia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sora | Unipomezia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sora | Unipomezia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 2-4 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sora | Unipomezia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 33.8% | 66.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…