Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 12:30 •
Stadio San Francesco
Expected Goals
0.34 (league 1.47)
1.79 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | 20.2% | 72.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
21.2%
0 - 2
19.0%
0 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Olbia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nocerina | 0 | 11.8% | 21.2% | 19.0% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nocerina | Olbia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 42% | 67% |
| Attack | 31% | 46% |
| Defense | 69% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nocerina | Olbia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Nocerina: DDLW • Olbia: DDWW
League goals
| Metric | Nocerina | Olbia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nocerina | Olbia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nocerina | Olbia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nocerina | Olbia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nocerina | Olbia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nocerina | Olbia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 21% | 79% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 35.5% | 64.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Olbia
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nocerina = 0.34 (league 1.47), Olbia = 1.79 (league 1.25)
| Olbia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nocerina | 0 | 11.8% | 21.2% | 19.0% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.3% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 72.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1