Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio San Francesco
Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.47)
1.04 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.6% | 21.0% | 18.5% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Montespaccato | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nocerina | 0 | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nocerina | Montespaccato |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 13% |
| Attack | 88% | 75% |
| Defense | 25% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nocerina | Montespaccato | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 50% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 50% | 0% | 29% |
| Loses | 33% | 25% | 29% | 50% | 100% | 71% |
Form: Nocerina: DDLWWWL • Montespaccato: LLLLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Nocerina | Montespaccato | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nocerina | Montespaccato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 71% | 71% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 29% | 14% | 71% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nocerina | Montespaccato | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nocerina | Montespaccato |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nocerina | Montespaccato |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nocerina | Montespaccato |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 82% | 18% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 67.8% | 32.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Nocerina or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nocerina = 2.03 (league 1.47), Montespaccato = 1.04 (league 1.25)
| Montespaccato | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nocerina | 0 | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.6% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 18.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1