Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio San Francesco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.52) 1.90 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.2% 20.2% 32.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.6%
2 - 2
7.2%
1 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nocerina 0 1.6% 3.1% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
1 3.6% 6.9% 6.6% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
2 4.0% 7.6% 7.2% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
3 2.9% 5.6% 5.3% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.6% 3.1% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
5 0.7% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNocerinaSarrabus Ogliastra
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack90%100%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nocerina Sarrabus Ogliastra
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%67%55%33%40%36%
Draws40%17%27%50%40%45%
Loses20%17%18%17%20%18%

Form: Nocerina: DDLWWWLDWWW • Sarrabus Ogliastra: DWDDLWWDWLD

League goals

Metric Nocerina Sarrabus Ogliastra
HATHAT
GF total791681220
GF avg1.41.51.51.32.41.8
GA total551091221
GA avg1.00.80.91.52.41.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNocerinaSarrabus Ogliastra
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%64%82%82%
1.536%18%73%73%
2.59%9%27%18%
3.50%0%0%18%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNocerinaSarrabus Ogliastra
HATHAT
Clean sheets134202
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricNocerinaSarrabus Ogliastra
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricNocerinaSarrabus Ogliastra
Wins32
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-02-3
Biggest losses1-23-20-44-2
Goals For2333
Goals Against2344

Model comparison

MetricNocerinaSarrabus Ogliastra
Form56%44%
Att45%55%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.7%45.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Nocerina or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.35 @ Superbet
Away7.09 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.87 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nocerina = 2.21 (league 1.52), Sarrabus Ogliastra = 1.90 (league 1.26)

Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nocerina 0 1.6% 3.1% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
1 3.6% 6.9% 6.6% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
2 4.0% 7.6% 7.2% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
3 2.9% 5.6% 5.3% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.6% 3.1% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
5 0.7% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.2% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 32.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1