Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio San Francesco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.54) 0.40 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.0% 36.2% 14.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.3%
1 - 0
24.7%
2 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Lodigiani
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nocerina 0 25.3% 10.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.7% 9.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.0% 4.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNocerinaAtletico Lodigiani
Played55
Form100%60%
Attack79%57%
Defense86%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nocerina Atletico Lodigiani
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins50%71%62%43%0%23%
Draws33%14%23%14%50%31%
Loses17%14%15%43%50%46%

Form: Nocerina: DDLWWWLDWWWWW • Atletico Lodigiani: DLLLDDLDWLWLW

League goals

Metric Nocerina Atletico Lodigiani
HATHAT
GF total9122112315
GF avg1.51.71.61.70.51.2
GA total651111617
GA avg1.00.70.81.61.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNocerinaAtletico Lodigiani
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%62%77%77%
1.546%15%23%46%
2.515%8%15%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNocerinaAtletico Lodigiani
HATHAT
Clean sheets145123
Failed to score000033

Penalties

MetricNocerinaAtletico Lodigiani
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricNocerinaAtletico Lodigiani
Wins31
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-1—
Biggest losses1-23-22-32-1
Goals For2331
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricNocerinaAtletico Lodigiani
Form63%38%
Att58%42%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total67.5%32.8%

Advice: Double chance : Nocerina or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.37 @ Unibet
Draw4.43 @ Pinnacle
Away8.15 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ Marathonbet
No1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nocerina = 0.97 (league 1.54), Atletico Lodigiani = 0.40 (league 1.25)

Atletico Lodigiani
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nocerina 0 25.3% 10.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.7% 9.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.0% 4.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.0% · Draw 36.2% · Away win 14.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1