Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Mazzella
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.52) 1.65 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.6% 22.5% 35.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.5%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
USD Palmese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ischia 0 3.2% 5.3% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
1 5.8% 9.5% 7.8% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.1% 8.5% 7.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.1% 5.0% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.4% 2.3% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIschiaUSD Palmese
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack35%35%
Defense70%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ischia USD Palmese
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins57%14%36%14%29%21%
Draws0%43%21%43%43%43%
Loses43%43%43%43%29%36%

Form: Ischia: LLDLDLLWWDWLWW • USD Palmese: DDLDDLWDLDLWWL

League goals

Metric Ischia USD Palmese
HATHAT
GF total1151661117
GF avg1.60.71.10.91.61.2
GA total9132281220
GA avg1.31.91.61.11.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIschiaUSD Palmese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%93%64%93%
1.536%43%36%36%
2.57%14%21%14%
3.50%7%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIschiaUSD Palmese
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score134415

Penalties

MetricIschiaUSD Palmese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricIschiaUSD Palmese
Wins22
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-11-3
Biggest losses0-24-00-23-1
Goals For3233
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricIschiaUSD Palmese
Form59%41%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total53.8%46.3%

Advice: Double chance : Ischia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ Marathonbet
Away2.95 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.89 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Marathonbet
No2.12 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Ischia = 1.79 (league 1.52), USD Palmese = 1.65 (league 1.26)

USD Palmese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ischia 0 3.2% 5.3% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
1 5.8% 9.5% 7.8% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.1% 8.5% 7.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.1% 5.0% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.4% 2.3% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.6% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 35.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1