Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 13:30 • Bruno Nespoli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.40 (league 1.52) 2.90 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.6% 17.3% 42.4%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.0%
2 - 3
5.8%
1 - 2
5.0%
Score & goals probability table
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Olbia 0 0.5% 1.4% 2.1% 2.0% 1.5% 0.9%
1 1.2% 3.5% 5.0% 4.9% 3.5% 2.0%
2 1.4% 4.2% 6.0% 5.8% 4.2% 2.5%
3 1.2% 3.3% 4.8% 4.7% 3.4% 2.0%
4 0.7% 2.0% 2.9% 2.8% 2.0% 1.2%
5 0.3% 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOlbiaSarrabus Ogliastra
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack44%67%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Olbia Sarrabus Ogliastra
HATHAT
Played79169716
Wins29%22%25%44%29%38%
Draws43%44%44%33%29%31%
Loses29%33%31%22%43%31%

Form: Olbia: DDWWLLDWWDDLLDDL • Sarrabus Ogliastra: DWDDLWWDWLDLWLWL

League goals

Metric Olbia Sarrabus Ogliastra
HATHAT
GF total101020131326
GF avg1.41.11.31.41.91.6
GA total131124121830
GA avg1.91.21.51.32.61.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOlbiaSarrabus Ogliastra
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%88%75%81%
1.531%38%56%69%
2.513%6%25%19%
3.50%6%6%19%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOlbiaSarrabus Ogliastra
HATHAT
Clean sheets022303
Failed to score033314

Penalties

MetricOlbiaSarrabus Ogliastra
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricOlbiaSarrabus Ogliastra
Wins22
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-34-22-3
Biggest losses1-62-00-44-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against6244

Model comparison

MetricOlbiaSarrabus Ogliastra
Form25%75%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sarrabus Ogliastra

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ 10Bet
Draw3.24 @ Marathonbet
Away2.65 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.85 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Superbet
No2.07 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Olbia = 2.40 (league 1.52), Sarrabus Ogliastra = 2.90 (league 1.25)

Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Olbia 0 0.5% 1.4% 2.1% 2.0% 1.5% 0.9%
1 1.2% 3.5% 5.0% 4.9% 3.5% 2.0%
2 1.4% 4.2% 6.0% 5.8% 4.2% 2.5%
3 1.2% 3.3% 4.8% 4.7% 3.4% 2.0%
4 0.7% 2.0% 2.9% 2.8% 2.0% 1.2%
5 0.3% 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.6% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 42.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1