Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 • Bruno Nespoli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.54) 1.16 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.1% 25.4% 28.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Albalonga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Olbia 0 6.8% 7.9% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.4% 12.1% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.2% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.7% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOlbiaAlbalonga
Played55
Form13%13%
Attack16%37%
Defense58%32%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Olbia Albalonga
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins25%22%24%50%22%35%
Draws38%44%41%50%22%35%
Loses38%33%35%0%56%29%

Form: Olbia: DDWWLLDWWDDLLDDLL • Albalonga: DDWDDWWWLWLWLDLDL

League goals

Metric Olbia Albalonga
HATHAT
GF total10102020727
GF avg1.31.11.22.50.81.6
GA total141125141630
GA avg1.81.21.51.81.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOlbiaAlbalonga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%88%82%82%
1.529%35%47%59%
2.512%6%24%35%
3.50%6%6%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOlbiaAlbalonga
HATHAT
Clean sheets022123
Failed to score134033

Penalties

MetricOlbiaAlbalonga
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricOlbiaAlbalonga
Wins23
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-34-21-2
Biggest losses1-62-0—3-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against6233

Model comparison

MetricOlbiaAlbalonga
Form50%50%
Att30%70%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total50.2%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : Olbia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Superbet
Draw3.32 @ Marathonbet
Away2.65 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.92 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Superbet
No2.12 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Olbia = 1.52 (league 1.54), Albalonga = 1.16 (league 1.24)

Albalonga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Olbia 0 6.8% 7.9% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.4% 12.1% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.2% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.7% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.1% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 28.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1