Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Ugo Gobbato
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.54) 1.67 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.0% 23.8% 61.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.5%
0 - 2
13.8%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Trastevere
0 1 2 3 4 5
USD Palmese 0 9.9% 16.5% 13.8% 7.7% 3.2% 1.1%
1 6.4% 10.6% 8.9% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7%
2 2.1% 3.4% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUSD PalmeseTrastevere
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack44%100%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.815 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric USD Palmese Trastevere
HATHAT
Played8101810818
Wins13%30%22%50%50%50%
Draws50%40%44%40%38%39%
Loses38%30%33%10%13%11%

Form: USD Palmese: DDLDDLWDLDLWWLLDWD • Trastevere: DDWWWWWDWWLLDWDDDW

League goals

Metric USD Palmese Trastevere
HATHAT
GF total71421201535
GF avg0.91.41.22.01.91.9
GA total9162512921
GA avg1.11.61.41.21.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUSD PalmeseTrastevere
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%89%94%83%
1.533%33%61%28%
2.517%17%28%6%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUSD PalmeseTrastevere
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score426101

Penalties

MetricUSD PalmeseTrastevere
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricUSD PalmeseTrastevere
Wins25
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-34-11-3
Biggest losses0-23-10-12-1
Goals For3343
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricUSD PalmeseTrastevere
Form36%64%
Att21%79%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Winner : Trastevere

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Dafabet
Draw3.25 @ Dafabet
Away2.35 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.84 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Marathonbet
No2.05 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): USD Palmese = 0.64 (league 1.54), Trastevere = 1.67 (league 1.25)

Trastevere
0 1 2 3 4 5
USD Palmese 0 9.9% 16.5% 13.8% 7.7% 3.2% 1.1%
1 6.4% 10.6% 8.9% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7%
2 2.1% 3.4% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.0% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 61.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1