Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:00 • Campo Sportivo Is Arranas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.50) 0.64 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.8% 35.1% 24.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.8%
1 - 0
19.4%
0 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Lodigiani
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0 20.8% 13.3% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 12.4% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.0% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSarrabus OgliastraAtletico Lodigiani
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack25%100%
Defense25%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sarrabus Ogliastra Atletico Lodigiani
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins44%33%39%50%0%28%
Draws33%22%28%20%63%39%
Loses22%44%33%30%38%33%

Form: Sarrabus Ogliastra: DWDDLWWDWLDLWLWLWL • Atletico Lodigiani: DLLLDDLDWLWLWDWDDW

League goals

Metric Sarrabus Ogliastra Atletico Lodigiani
HATHAT
GF total13142718523
GF avg1.41.61.51.80.61.3
GA total12193115823
GA avg1.32.11.71.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSarrabus OgliastraAtletico Lodigiani
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%78%83%83%
1.550%61%33%39%
2.522%17%11%6%
3.56%17%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSarrabus OgliastraAtletico Lodigiani
HATHAT
Clean sheets314123
Failed to score325033

Penalties

MetricSarrabus OgliastraAtletico Lodigiani
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSarrabus OgliastraAtletico Lodigiani
Wins21
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-22-33-1—
Biggest losses0-44-02-32-1
Goals For4331
Goals Against4432

Model comparison

MetricSarrabus OgliastraAtletico Lodigiani
Form40%60%
Att20%80%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Lodigiani

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ 10Bet
Away2.85 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.82 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Marathonbet
No1.99 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sarrabus Ogliastra = 0.93 (league 1.50), Atletico Lodigiani = 0.64 (league 1.22)

Atletico Lodigiani
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0 20.8% 13.3% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 12.4% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.0% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.8% · Draw 35.1% · Away win 24.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1