Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio San Francesco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.54) 1.84 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.3% 22.1% 61.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.4%
0 - 2
12.3%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Scafatese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nocerina 0 7.3% 13.4% 12.3% 7.6% 3.5% 1.3%
1 5.7% 10.4% 9.6% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 2.2% 4.1% 3.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNocerinaScafatese
Played55
Form20%73%
Attack67%100%
Defense0%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nocerina Scafatese
HATHAT
Played8101810818
Wins38%50%44%60%75%67%
Draws50%20%33%40%25%33%
Loses13%30%22%0%0%0%

Form: Nocerina: DDLWWWLDWWWWWDDDLL • Scafatese: WDWDWWWWWDWWDDWDWW

League goals

Metric Nocerina Scafatese
HATHAT
GF total121527211738
GF avg1.51.51.52.12.12.1
GA total912217613
GA avg1.11.21.20.70.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNocerinaScafatese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%72%94%61%
1.539%28%72%11%
2.511%11%33%0%
3.50%6%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNocerinaScafatese
HATHAT
Clean sheets145527
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricNocerinaScafatese
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricNocerinaScafatese
Wins55
Draws32
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-10-4
Biggest losses1-24-1——
Goals For2344
Goals Against2421

Model comparison

MetricNocerinaScafatese
Form21%79%
Att38%63%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total36.2%64.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Scafatese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ 1xBet
Away2.36 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.81 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ 1xBet
No2.08 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nocerina = 0.78 (league 1.54), Scafatese = 1.84 (league 1.25)

Scafatese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nocerina 0 7.3% 13.4% 12.3% 7.6% 3.5% 1.3%
1 5.7% 10.4% 9.6% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 2.2% 4.1% 3.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.3% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 61.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1