Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio San Francesco
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.54)
1.84 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.3% | 22.1% | 61.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.4%
0 - 2
12.3%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Scafatese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nocerina | 0 | 7.3% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nocerina | Scafatese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 73% |
| Attack | 67% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nocerina | Scafatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 38% | 50% | 44% | 60% | 75% | 67% |
| Draws | 50% | 20% | 33% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
| Loses | 13% | 30% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Nocerina: DDLWWWLDWWWWWDDDLL • Scafatese: WDWDWWWWWDWWDDWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Nocerina | Scafatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 15 | 27 | 21 | 17 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 9 | 12 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nocerina | Scafatese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 72% | 94% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 28% | 72% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nocerina | Scafatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nocerina | Scafatese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nocerina | Scafatese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nocerina | Scafatese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 21% | 79% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 36.2% | 64.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Scafatese
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.75 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ 1xBet
Away2.36 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.89 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.81 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.71 @ 1xBet
No2.08 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nocerina = 0.78 (league 1.54), Scafatese = 1.84 (league 1.25)
| Scafatese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nocerina | 0 | 7.3% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.3% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 61.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1
