Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 10:00 • Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Mazzella
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.36 (league 1.52) 1.54 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.5% 19.5% 24.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 1
7.4%
3 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ischia 0 2.0% 3.1% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 4.8% 7.4% 5.7% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.6% 8.7% 6.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.4% 6.8% 5.3% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.6% 4.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIschiaSarrabus Ogliastra
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack55%27%
Defense55%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ischia Sarrabus Ogliastra
HATHAT
Played1091910919
Wins60%11%37%40%33%37%
Draws10%44%26%30%22%26%
Loses30%44%37%30%44%37%

Form: Ischia: LLDLDLLWWDWLWWWLWDD • Sarrabus Ogliastra: DWDDLWWDWLDLWLWLWLL

League goals

Metric Ischia Sarrabus Ogliastra
HATHAT
GF total17522141428
GF avg1.70.61.21.41.61.5
GA total121527151934
GA avg1.21.71.41.52.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIschiaSarrabus Ogliastra
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%89%74%79%
1.537%37%47%63%
2.511%11%21%21%
3.50%5%5%16%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIschiaSarrabus Ogliastra
HATHAT
Clean sheets112314
Failed to score156325

Penalties

MetricIschiaSarrabus Ogliastra
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricIschiaSarrabus Ogliastra
Wins32
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-22-3
Biggest losses0-24-00-44-0
Goals For3243
Goals Against2444

Model comparison

MetricIschiaSarrabus Ogliastra
Form57%43%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Double chance : Ischia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ Dafabet
Away3.00 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.92 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Superbet
No2.17 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ischia = 2.36 (league 1.52), Sarrabus Ogliastra = 1.54 (league 1.25)

Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ischia 0 2.0% 3.1% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 4.8% 7.4% 5.7% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.6% 8.7% 6.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.4% 6.8% 5.3% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.6% 4.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.5% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 24.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1