Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:30 •
Bruno Nespoli
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.54)
2.18 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.2% | 18.6% | 66.8% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.2%
0 - 1
11.2%
1 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Nocerina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olbia | 0 | 5.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Olbia | Nocerina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 27% |
| Attack | 25% | 38% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Olbia | Nocerina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 20% | 18% | 19% | 30% | 55% | 43% |
| Draws | 40% | 45% | 43% | 50% | 18% | 33% |
| Loses | 40% | 36% | 38% | 20% | 27% | 24% |
Form: Olbia: DDWWLLDWWDDLLDDLLLDDL • Nocerina: DDLWWWLDWWWWWDDDLLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Olbia | Nocerina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 11 | 22 | 12 | 16 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 18 | 14 | 32 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Olbia | Nocerina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 86% | 90% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 38% | 33% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Olbia | Nocerina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Olbia | Nocerina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Olbia | Nocerina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-6 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Olbia | Nocerina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 37.0% | 63.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Nocerina
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Olbia = 0.79 (league 1.54), Nocerina = 2.18 (league 1.24)
| Nocerina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olbia | 0 | 5.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.2% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 66.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1