Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio San Francesco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.54) 0.68 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.2% 27.4% 18.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.5%
0 - 0
12.4%
2 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Real Monterotondo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nocerina 0 12.4% 8.4% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.5% 11.9% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 8.3% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.8% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNocerinaReal Monterotondo
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack71%100%
Defense29%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nocerina Real Monterotondo
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins25%54%40%33%8%20%
Draws50%23%36%17%23%20%
Loses25%23%24%50%69%60%

Form: Nocerina: DDLWWWLDWWWWWDDDLLLWDWLDD • Real Monterotondo: LLWWLLLLLDLLWDLDLDWLWLLLD

League goals

Metric Nocerina Real Monterotondo
HATHAT
GF total14193317926
GF avg1.21.51.31.40.71.0
GA total141428182341
GA avg1.21.11.11.51.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNocerinaReal Monterotondo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%68%60%88%
1.532%32%24%40%
2.512%8%12%24%
3.50%4%4%8%
4.50%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNocerinaReal Monterotondo
HATHAT
Clean sheets268213
Failed to score2133710

Penalties

MetricNocerinaReal Monterotondo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricNocerinaReal Monterotondo
Wins52
Draws31
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-35-11-2
Biggest losses0-24-12-43-0
Goals For2353
Goals Against2445

Model comparison

MetricNocerinaReal Monterotondo
Form60%40%
Att42%58%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total63.4%36.6%

Advice: Double chance : Nocerina or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ Betano
Away7.29 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.75 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Marathonbet
No1.66 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nocerina = 1.41 (league 1.54), Real Monterotondo = 0.68 (league 1.24)

Real Monterotondo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nocerina 0 12.4% 8.4% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.5% 11.9% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 8.3% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.8% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.2% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 18.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1