Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio San Francesco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.51) 1.26 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.6% 26.5% 35.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
10.0%
0 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Valmontone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nocerina 0 7.6% 9.6% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.0% 12.6% 8.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.5% 8.3% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.9% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNocerinaValmontone
Played55
Form33%7%
Attack18%6%
Defense76%24%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.61 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nocerina Valmontone
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins23%57%41%29%46%37%
Draws46%21%33%29%8%19%
Loses31%21%26%43%46%44%

Form: Nocerina: DDLWWWLDWWWWWDDDLLLWDWLDDLW • Valmontone: DDDWWWLLWWLLLWWWWLDWLLLLLLD

League goals

Metric Nocerina Valmontone
HATHAT
GF total142034171734
GF avg1.11.41.31.21.31.3
GA total151429192342
GA avg1.21.01.11.41.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNocerinaValmontone
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%67%78%74%
1.530%30%30%48%
2.511%7%15%22%
3.50%4%4%7%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNocerinaValmontone
HATHAT
Clean sheets279257
Failed to score314336

Penalties

MetricNocerinaValmontone
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricNocerinaValmontone
Wins54
Draws33
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-00-3
Biggest losses0-24-11-35-0
Goals For2334
Goals Against2435

Model comparison

MetricNocerinaValmontone
Form83%17%
Att75%25%
Def76%24%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total71.8%28.3%

Advice: Double chance : Nocerina or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ 10Bet
Draw3.34 @ Marathonbet
Away4.13 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.70 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Marathonbet
No1.81 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nocerina = 1.31 (league 1.51), Valmontone = 1.26 (league 1.23)

Valmontone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nocerina 0 7.6% 9.6% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.0% 12.6% 8.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.5% 8.3% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.9% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.6% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 35.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1