Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio San Francesco
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.46)
1.30 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.0% | 26.0% | 35.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
9.5%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Valmontone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nocerina | 0 | 7.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nocerina | Valmontone |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 7% |
| Attack | 18% | 6% |
| Defense | 76% | 24% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nocerina | Valmontone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 23% | 57% | 41% | 29% | 46% | 37% |
| Draws | 46% | 21% | 33% | 29% | 8% | 19% |
| Loses | 31% | 21% | 26% | 43% | 46% | 44% |
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ValmontoneDDDWWWLLWWLLLWWWWLDWLLLLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Nocerina | Valmontone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 20 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 15 | 14 | 29 | 19 | 23 | 42 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nocerina | Valmontone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 67% | 78% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 30% | 30% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 7% | 15% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nocerina | Valmontone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nocerina | Valmontone |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nocerina | Valmontone |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nocerina | Valmontone |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83% | 17% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 76% | 24% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 71.8% | 28.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.80 @ 10Bet
Draw3.34 @ Marathonbet
Away4.13 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.01 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.70 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.86 @ Marathonbet
No1.81 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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