Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 12:00 •
Stadio San Francesco
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.51)
1.25 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.1% | 27.1% | 36.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 1
10.4%
1 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Latte Dolce | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nocerina | 0 | 8.3% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nocerina | Latte Dolce |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 20% | 50% |
| Defense | 80% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nocerina | Latte Dolce | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 21% | 53% | 38% | 40% | 36% | 38% |
| Draws | 50% | 27% | 38% | 13% | 14% | 14% |
| Loses | 29% | 20% | 24% | 47% | 50% | 48% |
Form: Nocerina: DDLWWWLDWWWWWDDDLLLWDWLDDLWDD • Latte Dolce: DWWLWWLLLDWLLWDLWWLLWLDLLWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Nocerina | Latte Dolce | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 20 | 35 | 19 | 19 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 16 | 14 | 30 | 21 | 24 | 45 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nocerina | Latte Dolce | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 66% | 72% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 28% | 31% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 7% | 14% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 7% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nocerina | Latte Dolce | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nocerina | Latte Dolce |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nocerina | Latte Dolce |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 | 1-6 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nocerina | Latte Dolce |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 59.6% | 40.6% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Nocerina or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nocerina = 1.24 (league 1.51), Latte Dolce = 1.25 (league 1.23)
| Latte Dolce | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nocerina | 0 | 8.3% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.1% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 36.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1