Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 13:00 •
Centro Sportivo Francesca Gianni
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.50)
1.39 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.6% | 27.0% | 45.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Nocerina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Lodigiani | 0 | 9.0% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atletico Lodigiani | Nocerina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 25% | 10% |
| Defense | 75% | 90% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atletico Lodigiani | Nocerina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 53% | 13% | 33% | 20% | 53% | 37% |
| Draws | 13% | 53% | 33% | 53% | 27% | 40% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 27% | 20% | 23% |
Form: Atletico Lodigiani: DLLLDDLDWLWLWDWDDWWWWDLLWDLLWD • Nocerina: DDLWWWLDWWWWWDDDLLLWDWLDDLWDDD
League goals
| Metric | Atletico Lodigiani | Nocerina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 16 | 41 | 15 | 20 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 19 | 18 | 37 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atletico Lodigiani | Nocerina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 80% | 80% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 37% | 27% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 7% | 10% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atletico Lodigiani | Nocerina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atletico Lodigiani | Nocerina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atletico Lodigiani | Nocerina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-2 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atletico Lodigiani | Nocerina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 48.3% | 51.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Atletico Lodigiani or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atletico Lodigiani = 1.02 (league 1.50), Nocerina = 1.39 (league 1.22)
| Nocerina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Lodigiani | 0 | 9.0% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.6% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 45.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1