Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Latte Dolce
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.46)
0.86 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.9% | 22.6% | 17.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.5%
2 - 0
11.3%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Cassino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Latte Dolce | 0 | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 10.7% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.3% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Latte Dolce carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 132 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Latte Dolce +32.9, Cassino -17.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Latte Dolce
vs
Cassino
Elo gapLatte Dolce +132
Home / draw / away56% / 18% / 26%
Expected home share68%
Combined Elo2888
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2888
Elo home share
68%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Latte Dolce | Cassino |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1492.7 | 1395.3 |
| Form Elo | 1508.7 | 1380.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1497 | 1439.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1522.6 | 1340.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1447.4 | 1499.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +32.9 | -17.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Latte Dolce last-5 Elo change: +32.9; Cassino last-5 Elo change: -17.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Latte Dolce | Cassino |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 20% |
| Attack | 60% | 13% |
| Defense | 67% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Latte Dolce | Cassino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 44% | 38% | 41% | 19% | 6% | 13% |
| Draws | 13% | 19% | 16% | 31% | 25% | 28% |
| Loses | 44% | 44% | 44% | 50% | 69% | 59% |
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CassinoWLLLDLLLLLDLLDLWDDLLWLLWLDLDDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Latte Dolce | Cassino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 22 | 45 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 21 | 26 | 47 | 19 | 30 | 49 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Latte Dolce | Cassino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 72% | 53% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 34% | 50% | 16% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 19% | 0% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Latte Dolce | Cassino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
Penalties
| Metric | Latte Dolce | Cassino |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Latte Dolce | Cassino |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-6 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Latte Dolce | Cassino |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77% | 23% |
| Att | 82% | 18% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 61.7% | 38.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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