Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 17:00 • Stadio Degli Ulivi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.43) 1.03 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.1% 26.9% 27.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
12.3%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Paganese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fidelis Andria 0 8.8% 9.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.3% 12.7% 6.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.6% 8.9% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFidelis AndriaPaganese
Played22
Form67%50%
Attack19%13%
Defense94%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.52 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.52 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fidelis Andria Paganese
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%0%50%0%100%50%
Draws0%100%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%100%0%50%

Form: Fidelis Andria: WD • Paganese: WL

League goals

Metric Fidelis Andria Paganese
HATHAT
GF total213022
GF avg2.01.01.50.02.01.0
GA total011112
GA avg0.01.00.51.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFidelis AndriaPaganese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%50%100%
1.550%0%50%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFidelis AndriaPaganese
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricFidelis AndriaPaganese
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFidelis AndriaPaganese
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0——1-2
Biggest losses——0-1—
Goals For2102
Goals Against0111

Model comparison

MetricFidelis AndriaPaganese
Form57%43%
Att60%40%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total63.8%36.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Fidelis Andria or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Superbet
Draw3.14 @ Marathonbet
Away4.10 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ Marathonbet
No1.58 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.45 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fidelis Andria = 1.40 (league 1.43), Paganese = 1.03 (league 0.97)

Paganese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fidelis Andria 0 8.8% 9.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.3% 12.7% 6.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.6% 8.9% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.1% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 27.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1