Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Marcello Torre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.45 (league 1.57) 0.99 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.3% 35.5% 48.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.8%
0 - 1
23.6%
0 - 2
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Real Acerrana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paganese 0 23.8% 23.6% 11.7% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.6% 10.5% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 2.4% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaganeseReal Acerrana
Played33
Form33%22%
Attack22%22%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.72 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 13 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paganese Real Acerrana
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%50%33%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%50%100%67%
Loses100%50%67%50%0%33%

Form: Paganese: WLL • Real Acerrana: LDD

League goals

Metric Paganese Real Acerrana
HATHAT
GF total022112
GF avg0.01.00.70.51.00.7
GA total123213
GA avg1.01.01.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaganeseReal Acerrana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%100%67%100%
1.533%0%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaganeseReal Acerrana
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricPaganeseReal Acerrana
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricPaganeseReal Acerrana
Wins10
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-2
Biggest losses0-11-00-1
Goals For0211
Goals Against1111

Model comparison

MetricPaganeseReal Acerrana
Form60%40%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Paganese or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paganese = 0.45 (league 1.57), Real Acerrana = 0.99 (league 1.01)

Real Acerrana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paganese 0 23.8% 23.6% 11.7% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.6% 10.5% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 2.4% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.3% · Draw 35.5% · Away win 48.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1