Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 14:00 •
Campo Sportivo Ferrandina
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.43)
5.16 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.7% | 5.4% | 49.5% |
best score tips
1 - 5
6.0%
1 - 4
5.9%
1 - 3
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Virtus Francavilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ferrandina | 0 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ferrandina | Virtus Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 11% | 56% |
| Attack | 11% | 89% |
| Defense | 44% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 8 | 2.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 5 | 1.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
89%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ferrandina | Virtus Francavilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Ferrandina: LDL • Virtus Francavilla: DWD
League goals
| Metric | Ferrandina | Virtus Francavilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 2.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ferrandina | Virtus Francavilla | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ferrandina | Virtus Francavilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ferrandina | Virtus Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ferrandina | Virtus Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ferrandina | Virtus Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17% | 83% |
| Att | 11% | 89% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 25.8% | 74.3% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Virtus Francavilla and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ferrandina = 1.40 (league 1.43), Virtus Francavilla = 5.16 (league 0.97)
| Virtus Francavilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ferrandina | 0 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.7% · Draw 5.4% · Away win 49.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1