Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Stefano Vicino
Expected Goals
0.21 (league 1.43)
2.06 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.9% | 15.3% | 79.9% |
best score tips
0 - 2
21.9%
0 - 1
21.2%
0 - 3
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Heraclea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gravina | 0 | 10.3% | 21.2% | 21.9% | 15.1% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gravina | Heraclea |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 11% | 67% |
| Attack | 33% | 22% |
| Defense | 33% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gravina | Heraclea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
Form: Gravina: LLD • Heraclea: WWL
League goals
| Metric | Gravina | Heraclea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gravina | Heraclea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 67% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 67% | 0% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gravina | Heraclea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gravina | Heraclea |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gravina | Heraclea |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gravina | Heraclea |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 14% | 86% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 14% | 86% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 29.3% | 70.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Heraclea and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gravina = 0.21 (league 1.43), Heraclea = 2.06 (league 0.97)
| Heraclea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gravina | 0 | 10.3% | 21.2% | 21.9% | 15.1% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.9% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 79.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1