Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Giovanni Paolo II
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.43)
0.77 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.3% | 32.2% | 26.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.9%
0 - 0
16.1%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Normanna | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Virtus Francavilla | 0 | 16.1% | 12.5% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 13.1% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Real Normanna |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 42% | 17% |
| Attack | 75% | 17% |
| Defense | 42% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 2.3 | 2 | 0.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Real Normanna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Virtus Francavilla: DWDL • Real Normanna: LDDL
League goals
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Real Normanna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Virtus Francavilla | Real Normanna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 75% | 0% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Real Normanna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Real Normanna |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Real Normanna |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 2-5 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Real Normanna |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 82% | 18% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 62.0% | 38.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Virtus Francavilla or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Virtus Francavilla = 1.05 (league 1.43), Real Normanna = 0.77 (league 0.97)
| Real Normanna | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Virtus Francavilla | 0 | 16.1% | 12.5% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 13.1% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.3% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 26.4%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1