Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Giovanni Paolo II
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.57) 0.74 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.0% 33.8% 27.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.3%
1 - 0
17.5%
0 - 1
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Real Normanna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Francavilla 0 18.3% 13.6% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.5% 13.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.3% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVirtus FrancavillaReal Normanna
Played44
Form42%17%
Attack75%17%
Defense42%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 2.32 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.84 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Virtus Francavilla Real Normanna
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%50%25%0%0%0%
Draws100%0%50%50%50%50%
Loses0%50%25%50%50%50%

Form: Virtus Francavilla: DWDL • Real Normanna: LDDL

League goals

Metric Virtus Francavilla Real Normanna
HATHAT
GF total369112
GF avg1.53.02.30.50.50.5
GA total347224
GA avg1.52.01.81.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVirtus FrancavillaReal Normanna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%50%100%
1.550%75%0%0%
2.525%0%0%0%
3.525%0%0%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVirtus FrancavillaReal Normanna
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricVirtus FrancavillaReal Normanna
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricVirtus FrancavillaReal Normanna
Wins10
Draws12
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-5
Biggest losses2-10-11-0
Goals For2511
Goals Against2211

Model comparison

MetricVirtus FrancavillaReal Normanna
Form71%29%
Att82%18%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Double chance : Virtus Francavilla or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Virtus Francavilla = 0.95 (league 1.57), Real Normanna = 0.74 (league 1.01)

Real Normanna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Francavilla 0 18.3% 13.6% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.5% 13.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.3% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.0% · Draw 33.8% · Away win 27.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1