Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Degli Ulivi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.49) 0.52 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.2% 18.7% 8.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.1%
1 - 0
16.0%
3 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Gravina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fidelis Andria 0 7.9% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.0% 8.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 8.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.8% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFidelis AndriaGravina
Played44
Form67%17%
Attack42%33%
Defense83%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.34 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.57 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fidelis Andria Gravina
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%0%50%0%0%0%
Draws0%100%50%50%50%50%
Loses0%0%0%50%50%50%

Form: Fidelis Andria: WDWD • Gravina: LLDD

League goals

Metric Fidelis Andria Gravina
HATHAT
GF total325224
GF avg1.51.01.31.01.01.0
GA total022347
GA avg0.01.00.51.52.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFidelis AndriaGravina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%100%
1.525%0%0%50%
2.50%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFidelis AndriaGravina
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricFidelis AndriaGravina
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFidelis AndriaGravina
Wins10
Draws10
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0———
Biggest losses——1-23-1
Goals For2111
Goals Against0123

Model comparison

MetricFidelis AndriaGravina
Form80%20%
Att56%44%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h85%15%
Goals76%24%
Total75.0%25.0%

Advice: Double chance : Fidelis Andria or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fidelis Andria = 2.02 (league 1.49), Gravina = 0.52 (league 0.96)

Gravina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fidelis Andria 0 7.9% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.0% 8.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 8.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.8% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.2% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 8.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1