Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Giovanni Paolo II
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.43)
0.77 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.5% | 27.5% | 20.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.9%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Nola 1925 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nardò | 0 | 11.4% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.9% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nardò | Nola 1925 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 42% |
| Attack | 25% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 7 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nardò | Nola 1925 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Nardò: LLDW • Nola 1925: WDDL
League goals
| Metric | Nardò | Nola 1925 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nardò | Nola 1925 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 75% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nardò | Nola 1925 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nardò | Nola 1925 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nardò | Nola 1925 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nardò | Nola 1925 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 42.8% | 57.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Nola 1925
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nardò = 1.40 (league 1.43), Nola 1925 = 0.77 (league 0.97)
| Nola 1925 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nardò | 0 | 11.4% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.9% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.5% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 20.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1