Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Giovanni Paolo II
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.57)
0.74 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.8% | 29.2% | 21.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.0%
0 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Nola 1925 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nardò | 0 | 13.3% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.0% | 12.6% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nardò | Nola 1925 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 42% |
| Attack | 25% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 7 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nardò | Nola 1925 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Nardò: LLDW • Nola 1925: WDDL
League goals
| Metric | Nardò | Nola 1925 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nardò | Nola 1925 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 75% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nardò | Nola 1925 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nardò | Nola 1925 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nardò | Nola 1925 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nardò | Nola 1925 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 42.8% | 57.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Nola 1925
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nardò = 1.27 (league 1.57), Nola 1925 = 0.74 (league 1.01)
| Nola 1925 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nardò | 0 | 13.3% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.0% | 12.6% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.8% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 21.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1