Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:00 •
Stadio Comunale Pino Zaccheria
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.52)
0.49 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.9% | 42.7% | 23.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
31.6%
1 - 0
20.8%
0 - 1
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Afragolese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heraclea | 0 | 31.6% | 15.6% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.8% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Heraclea | Afragolese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 58% | 33% |
| Attack | 25% | 42% |
| Defense | 83% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 7 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Heraclea | Afragolese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Heraclea: WWLD • Afragolese: LLDW
League goals
| Metric | Heraclea | Afragolese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Heraclea | Afragolese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Heraclea | Afragolese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Heraclea | Afragolese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Heraclea | Afragolese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 2-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Heraclea | Afragolese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 59.8% | 40.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Heraclea or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Heraclea = 0.66 (league 1.52), Afragolese = 0.49 (league 1.01)
| Afragolese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heraclea | 0 | 31.6% | 15.6% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.8% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.9% · Draw 42.7% · Away win 23.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1