Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Nunzio Fittipaldi
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.57)
0.99 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.8% | 25.1% | 23.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
11.9%
2 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Paganese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Francavilla | 0 | 7.6% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Francavilla | Paganese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 67% | 50% |
| Attack | 42% | 25% |
| Defense | 83% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 3 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Francavilla | Paganese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Francavilla: WDWD • Paganese: WLLW
League goals
| Metric | Francavilla | Paganese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Francavilla | Paganese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 25% | 50% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Francavilla | Paganese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Francavilla | Paganese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Francavilla | Paganese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Francavilla | Paganese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 61.3% | 39.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Francavilla or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Francavilla = 1.59 (league 1.57), Paganese = 0.99 (league 1.01)
| Paganese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Francavilla | 0 | 7.6% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.8% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 23.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1