Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:00 •
Stadio Gian Domenico Tursi
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.57)
0.59 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.9% | 29.6% | 17.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.7%
0 - 0
15.5%
2 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Francavilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Martina Franca | 0 | 15.5% | 9.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.7% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.5% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Martina Franca | Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 53% |
| Attack | 57% | 43% |
| Defense | 79% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
48%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Martina Franca | Francavilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 67% | 60% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 100% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
Form: Martina Franca: WWDDW • Francavilla: WDWDL
League goals
| Metric | Martina Franca | Francavilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Martina Franca | Francavilla | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 60% | 60% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 0% | 40% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Martina Franca | Francavilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Martina Franca | Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Martina Franca | Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Martina Franca | Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 91% | 9% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 67.6% | 32.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Martina Franca or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Martina Franca = 1.27 (league 1.57), Francavilla = 0.59 (league 1.01)
| Francavilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Martina Franca | 0 | 15.5% | 9.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.7% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.5% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 17.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1