Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Comunale Vittorio Papa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.43) 1.55 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.2% 25.6% 52.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.7%
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 2
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Heraclea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nola 1925 0 8.9% 13.7% 10.6% 5.5% 2.1% 0.7%
1 7.8% 12.0% 9.3% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 3.4% 5.3% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNola 1925Heraclea
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack47%24%
Defense59%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nola 1925 Heraclea
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%33%50%40%
Draws50%33%40%0%50%20%
Loses0%33%20%67%0%40%

Form: Nola 1925: WDDLW • Heraclea: WWLDL

League goals

Metric Nola 1925 Heraclea
HATHAT
GF total538224
GF avg2.51.01.60.71.00.8
GA total347415
GA avg1.51.31.41.30.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNola 1925Heraclea
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%80%60%
1.560%40%0%20%
2.520%20%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNola 1925Heraclea
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricNola 1925Heraclea
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricNola 1925Heraclea
Wins12
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-21-00-1
Biggest losses—3-01-3—
Goals For3211
Goals Against2331

Model comparison

MetricNola 1925Heraclea
Form53%47%
Att67%33%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Double chance : Nola 1925 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nola 1925 = 0.87 (league 1.43), Heraclea = 1.55 (league 0.97)

Heraclea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nola 1925 0 8.9% 13.7% 10.6% 5.5% 2.1% 0.7%
1 7.8% 12.0% 9.3% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 3.4% 5.3% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.2% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 52.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1