Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Vito Curlo
Expected Goals
2.62 (league 1.43)
0.31 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 81.5% | 10.6% | 2.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
18.3%
3 - 0
16.0%
1 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Nardò | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Città di Fasano | 0 | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.0% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.3% | 5.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.0% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.5% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Città di Fasano | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 27% |
| Attack | 59% | 18% |
| Defense | 82% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Città di Fasano | Nardò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 67% | 80% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
Form: Città di Fasano: WWWWD • Nardò: LLDWL
League goals
| Metric | Città di Fasano | Nardò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Città di Fasano | Nardò | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 40% | 60% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | 0% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Città di Fasano | Nardò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Città di Fasano | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Città di Fasano | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Città di Fasano | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 76% | 24% |
| Att | 77% | 23% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 64.0% | 36.0% |
Advice: Winner : Città di Fasano
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Città di Fasano = 2.62 (league 1.43), Nardò = 0.31 (league 0.97)
| Nardò | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Città di Fasano | 0 | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.0% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.3% | 5.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.0% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.5% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.5% · Draw 10.6% · Away win 2.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1