Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
3.22 (league 1.40)
2.60 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.3% | 16.2% | 27.4% |
best score tips
3 - 2
5.6%
2 - 2
5.2%
3 - 3
4.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Sarnese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ferrandina | 0 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ferrandina | Sarnese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 18% | 47% |
| Defense | 59% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ferrandina | Sarnese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 60% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
Form: Ferrandina: LDLWL • Sarnese: DWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Ferrandina | Sarnese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ferrandina | Sarnese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 100% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 40% | 60% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ferrandina | Sarnese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ferrandina | Sarnese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ferrandina | Sarnese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ferrandina | Sarnese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 44.5% | 55.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Sarnese
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ferrandina = 3.22 (league 1.40), Sarnese = 2.60 (league 0.96)
| Sarnese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ferrandina | 0 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.3% · Draw 16.2% · Away win 27.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1