Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Luigi Moccia
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.40)
1.56 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.6% | 23.5% | 36.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Manfredonia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Afragolese | 0 | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Afragolese | Manfredonia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 47% | 47% |
| Defense | 53% | 35% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Afragolese | Manfredonia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Loses | 50% | 33% | 40% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
Form: Afragolese: LLDWW • Manfredonia: LLDWL
League goals
| Metric | Afragolese | Manfredonia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Afragolese | Manfredonia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 60% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 20% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Afragolese | Manfredonia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Afragolese | Manfredonia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Afragolese | Manfredonia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-3 | 4-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | 2-5 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Afragolese | Manfredonia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 56.5% | 43.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Afragolese or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Afragolese = 1.61 (league 1.40), Manfredonia = 1.56 (league 0.96)
| Manfredonia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Afragolese | 0 | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.6% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 36.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1