Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Nunzio Fittipaldi
Expected Goals
3.43 (league 1.57)
1.68 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.6% | 13.7% | 14.6% |
best score tips
3 - 1
6.8%
2 - 1
6.0%
4 - 1
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Gravina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Francavilla | 0 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Francavilla | Gravina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 23% | 62% |
| Defense | 69% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Francavilla | Gravina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 0% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
Form: Francavilla: WDWDLL • Gravina: LLDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Francavilla | Gravina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Francavilla | Gravina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 17% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 17% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Francavilla | Gravina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Francavilla | Gravina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Francavilla | Gravina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 4-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Francavilla | Gravina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 46% | 54% |
| Total | 50.2% | 49.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Francavilla or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Francavilla = 3.43 (league 1.57), Gravina = 1.68 (league 1.01)
| Gravina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Francavilla | 0 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.6% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 14.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1