Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Giovanni Paolo II
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.43) 2.28 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.7% 19.3% 59.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
1 - 1
8.4%
0 - 2
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Città di Fasano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Francavilla 0 3.1% 7.1% 8.1% 6.1% 3.5% 1.6%
1 3.7% 8.4% 9.6% 7.3% 4.2% 1.9%
2 2.2% 5.0% 5.7% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1%
3 0.9% 2.0% 2.3% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVirtus FrancavillaCittà di Fasano
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack77%69%
Defense46%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Virtus Francavilla Città di Fasano
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%67%67%67%
Draws67%33%50%33%33%33%
Loses0%33%17%0%0%0%

Form: Virtus Francavilla: DWDLWD • Città di Fasano: WWWWDD

League goals

Metric Virtus Francavilla Città di Fasano
HATHAT
GF total57126511
GF avg1.72.32.02.01.71.8
GA total459134
GA avg1.31.71.50.31.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVirtus FrancavillaCittà di Fasano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%50%
1.550%50%67%17%
2.517%0%17%0%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVirtus FrancavillaCittà di Fasano
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricVirtus FrancavillaCittà di Fasano
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricVirtus FrancavillaCittà di Fasano
Wins14
Draws10
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-53-01-2
Biggest losses2-1
Goals For2532
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricVirtus FrancavillaCittà di Fasano
Form42%58%
Att53%47%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h80%20%
Goals63%38%
Total51.7%48.5%

Advice: Double chance : Virtus Francavilla or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Bet365
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.85 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.66 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ William Hill
No1.87 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Virtus Francavilla = 1.19 (league 1.43), Città di Fasano = 2.28 (league 0.97)

Città di Fasano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Francavilla 0 3.1% 7.1% 8.1% 6.1% 3.5% 1.6%
1 3.7% 8.4% 9.6% 7.3% 4.2% 1.9%
2 2.2% 5.0% 5.7% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1%
3 0.9% 2.0% 2.3% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.7% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 59.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1