Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Marcello Torre
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.43)
1.44 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.3% | 25.4% | 39.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Sarnese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paganese | 0 | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Paganese | Sarnese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 60% | 60% |
| Defense | 70% | 10% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Paganese | Sarnese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 75% | 57% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 14% | 50% | 0% | 29% |
| Loses | 33% | 25% | 29% | 25% | 67% | 43% |
Form: Paganese: WLLWWDW • Sarnese: DWWLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Paganese | Sarnese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Paganese | Sarnese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 0% | 43% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Paganese | Sarnese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Paganese | Sarnese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Paganese | Sarnese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Paganese | Sarnese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 62.2% | 37.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Paganese or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Paganese = 1.32 (league 1.43), Sarnese = 1.44 (league 0.97)
| Sarnese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paganese | 0 | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.3% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 39.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1