Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Luigi Moccia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.57) 1.67 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.0% 23.7% 43.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
9.1%
0 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Barletta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Afragolese 0 4.6% 7.7% 6.4% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
1 6.5% 10.8% 9.1% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 7.6% 6.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.1% 3.6% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAfragoleseBarletta
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack80%60%
Defense30%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Afragolese Barletta
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%25%43%50%33%43%
Draws0%25%14%50%33%43%
Loses33%50%43%0%33%14%

Form: Afragolese: LLDWWWL • Barletta: DDLDWWW

League goals

Metric Afragolese Barletta
HATHAT
GF total5510549
GF avg1.71.31.41.31.31.3
GA total4812145
GA avg1.32.01.70.31.30.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAfragoleseBarletta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%86%43%
1.557%57%29%29%
2.514%29%14%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAfragoleseBarletta
HATHAT
Clean sheets101314
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricAfragoleseBarletta
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAfragoleseBarletta
Wins30
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-33-00-1
Biggest losses2-33-02-1
Goals For2332
Goals Against3312

Model comparison

MetricAfragoleseBarletta
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h20%80%
Goals0%100%
Total39.4%60.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Barletta

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Afragolese = 1.41 (league 1.57), Barletta = 1.67 (league 1.01)

Barletta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Afragolese 0 4.6% 7.7% 6.4% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
1 6.5% 10.8% 9.1% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 7.6% 6.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.1% 3.6% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.0% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 43.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1